Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Haula 54.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 68.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Matthews
Haula
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
4
Matthews
Haula
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
57.6% (684)
-4.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
46.0% (63)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
45.5% (145)
-3.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
56.5% (703)
56.3% (449)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.3% (443)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
52.1%
58.4%
P2
54.0%
54.9%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |