Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Haula 53.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 70.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 72.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 70.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Matthews
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Matthews
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Matthews
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Matthews
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
52.7% (734)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
71.4% (49)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On power play, Haula has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
60.7% (572)
54.0% (404)
Away
52.4% (657)
53.7% (402)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
60.3%
50.8%
P2
55.6%
55.0%
P3
53.3%
55.1%
OT
45.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |