Auston Matthews vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 81.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Matthews
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Matthews
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.4% (770)
+4.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
58.7% (46)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.3% (199)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaudreau
Home
54.8% (515)
51.1% (507)
Away
50.2% (534)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Matthews
Gaudreau
P1
54.4%
49.4%
P2
50.4%
47.4%
P3
51.8%
51.2%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |