Auston Matthews vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 58.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Matthews
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
49.2% (858)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
39.0% (41)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
46.0% (198)
+4.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaudreau
Home
59.1% (528)
47.1% (546)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Matthews
Gaudreau
P1
56.2%
46.8%
P2
58.1%
46.8%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |