Auston Matthews vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 80.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Matthews
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthews
Gaudreau
Last 5: Matthews 3-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
49.0% (408)
+4.4%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
68.0% (25)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
49.1% (114)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaudreau
Home
56.5% (703)
50.8% (319)
Away
50.0% (616)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Matthews
Gaudreau
P1
52.1%
53.4%
P2
54.0%
47.4%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |