Auston Matthews vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 83.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Matthews
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Matthews
Gaudreau
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
2
Matthews
Gaudreau
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
6
Matthews
Gaudreau
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.7% (3,745)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
53.9% (219)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
46.6% (789)
+3.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaudreau
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Matthews
Gaudreau
P1
55.5%
49.7%
P2
53.3%
47.3%
P3
52.8%
49.1%
OT
56.6%
36.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |