Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Compher 51.3% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 62.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 54.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Matthews
Compher
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
52.2% (471)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
65.6% (61)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
41.6% (125)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Matthews
Compher
Home
60.7% (572)
54.4% (362)
Away
52.4% (657)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Matthews
Compher
P1
60.3%
49.6%
P2
55.6%
53.6%
P3
53.3%
51.4%
OT
45.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%