Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Compher 48.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Matthews
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Matthews
Compher
Last 9: Matthews 5-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Matthews
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
49.3% (1,149)
+3.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
53.9% (204)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.6% (312)
+31.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Matthews
Compher
Home
54.8% (515)
50.7% (872)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Matthews
Compher
P1
54.4%
49.9%
P2
50.4%
47.9%
P3
51.8%
49.0%
OT
75.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |