Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Compher 51.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 78.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 83.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Matthews
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Matthews
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.9% (757)
+5.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
54.8% (31)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
35.6% (90)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Matthews
Compher
Home
60.0% (520)
52.4% (429)
Away
59.3% (452)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Matthews
Compher
P1
60.2%
56.0%
P2
58.2%
50.0%
P3
60.4%
50.6%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |