Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Compher 45.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 95.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 77.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Matthews
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Matthews
Compher
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Compher
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
45.5% (782)
+7.9%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
44.2% (77)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
41.7% (180)
+0.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Matthews
Compher
Home
56.5% (703)
44.0% (484)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Matthews
Compher
P1
52.1%
46.2%
P2
54.0%
44.8%
P3
54.0%
44.2%
OT
57.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |