Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Miller 53.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 57.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 55.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Matthews
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Matthews
Miller
Last 7: Matthews 2-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Matthews
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
2
Matthews
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
54.9% (627)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
53.7% (136)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
47.6% (42)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Matthews is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Matthews shoots left. Miller is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Matthews
Miller
Home
59.8% (351)
54.7% (486)
Away
49.0% (337)
53.6% (319)
By Period
Matthews
Miller
P1
58.0%
48.6%
P2
49.6%
59.6%
P3
55.4%
53.9%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |