Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Miller 53.8% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 62.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 72.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Matthews
Miller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
55.5% (933)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
61.6% (73)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
45.8% (227)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Matthews
Miller
Home
60.7% (572)
53.5% (578)
Away
52.4% (657)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Matthews
Miller
P1
60.3%
58.3%
P2
55.6%
53.5%
P3
53.3%
50.1%
OT
45.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%