Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Eichel 45.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 58.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Matthews
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Matthews
Eichel
Last 8: Matthews 4-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Eichel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Matthews
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
45.5% (708)
+7.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
51.9% (54)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
29.0% (31)
+46.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eichel
Home
54.8% (515)
46.1% (388)
Away
50.2% (534)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Matthews
Eichel
P1
54.4%
46.8%
P2
50.4%
43.4%
P3
51.8%
45.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |