Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (81% H2H, 42 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Eichel 45.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 73-48 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 95.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 93.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 95.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Matthews
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
48
(121 meetings)
73
48
Matthews
Eichel
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
30
19
Matthews
Eichel
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
9
21
Matthews
Eichel
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
34
8
Matthews
Eichel
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
44.7% (8,462)
+9.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.8% (925)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
38.3% (540)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eichel
Home
56.3% (5,065)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Matthews
Eichel
P1
55.5%
45.4%
P2
53.3%
45.8%
P3
52.8%
44.2%
OT
56.6%
44.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |