Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Eichel 48.1% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 87.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 95.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Matthews
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Matthews
Eichel
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Eichel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Eichel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Eichel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
47.7% (858)
+12.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
55.6% (63)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.8% (87)
+11.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eichel
Home
60.0% (520)
47.7% (509)
Away
59.3% (452)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Matthews
Eichel
P1
60.2%
49.5%
P2
58.2%
48.5%
P3
60.4%
46.8%
OT
70.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |