Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Eichel 45.9% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 58.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.5%
Neutral zone
Eichel 55.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Matthews
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Matthews
Eichel
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Matthews
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Matthews
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Eichel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
45.9% (1,044)
+12.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
55.9% (59)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
39.7% (151)
+11.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eichel
Home
59.1% (528)
46.5% (606)
Away
55.1% (695)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Matthews
Eichel
P1
56.2%
47.2%
P2
58.1%
46.9%
P3
56.4%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |