Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Hughes 37.9% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Matthews
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Matthews
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Matthews
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
34.9% (444)
+17.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (14)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
33.3% (6)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hughes
Home
54.8% (515)
37.4% (235)
Away
50.2% (534)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Matthews
Hughes
P1
54.4%
37.1%
P2
50.4%
33.7%
P3
51.8%
34.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |