Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Hughes 40.3% (+16.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 76.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Matthews
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
35.6% (281)
+17.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (36)
+15.8%
On even strength, Matthews has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hughes
Home
56.5% (703)
38.4% (198)
Away
50.0% (616)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Matthews
Hughes
P1
52.1%
44.3%
P2
54.0%
34.2%
P3
54.0%
34.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%