Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Roslovic 51.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 52.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 62.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Matthews
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
52.5% (204)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
52.9% (17)
+12.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
60.0% (520)
49.6% (119)
Away
59.3% (452)
55.9% (102)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
60.2%
53.2%
P2
58.2%
53.2%
P3
60.4%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |