Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Roslovic 45.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 57.1%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 57.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 55.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
2
Matthews
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
45.8% (729)
+6.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
42.9% (105)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
38.2% (55)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
54.8% (515)
45.4% (447)
Away
50.2% (534)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
54.4%
43.2%
P2
50.4%
44.7%
P3
51.8%
47.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |