Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Roslovic 44.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 94.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Roslovic
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Roslovic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
42.9% (739)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
54.8% (84)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
28.1% (32)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
60.7% (572)
41.6% (442)
Away
52.4% (657)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
60.3%
44.9%
P2
55.6%
43.8%
P3
53.3%
41.8%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |