Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Roslovic 53.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 61.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 73.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Matthews
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
2
Matthews
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
55.2% (299)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
49.1% (55)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
0.0% (1)
+50.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
59.1% (528)
54.0% (200)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.2% (155)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
56.2%
57.0%
P2
58.1%
54.3%
P3
56.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%