Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Roslovic 46.0% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 91.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 78.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Roslovic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
44.3% (106)
+9.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
46.2% (13)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
14.3% (7)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
56.5% (703)
36.9% (65)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
52.1%
32.1%
P2
54.0%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
46.2%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |