Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.8%). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Benn 54.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Matthews
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Matthews
Benn
Last 5: Matthews 3-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Matthews
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
54.5% (299)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
59.2% (103)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Benn is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Matthews
Benn
Home
57.0% (440)
57.8% (223)
Away
53.1% (480)
53.7% (214)
By Period
Matthews
Benn
P1
54.0%
52.3%
P2
55.1%
56.6%
P3
56.4%
57.2%
OT
42.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |