Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 56.0%). Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Benn 55.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Matthews
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Benn
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Matthews
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Matthews
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
55.9% (365)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
56.8% (132)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
53.1% (32)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Matthews
Benn
Home
59.1% (528)
57.3% (267)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Matthews
Benn
P1
56.2%
54.3%
P2
58.1%
55.7%
P3
56.4%
58.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |