Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Benn 59.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 58.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Matthews
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Matthews
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Matthews
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
61.8% (584)
-9.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.7% (224)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
56.1% (57)
+18.9%
On power play, Benn has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Matthews
Benn
Home
54.8% (515)
64.4% (433)
Away
50.2% (534)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Matthews
Benn
P1
54.4%
61.8%
P2
50.4%
59.6%
P3
51.8%
59.2%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |