Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Benn 59.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 61.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 64.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Matthews
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Matthews
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
62.6% (479)
-9.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
58.4% (190)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
58.1% (43)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Matthews
Benn
Home
56.5% (703)
60.5% (349)
Away
50.0% (616)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Matthews
Benn
P1
52.1%
60.8%
P2
54.0%
60.1%
P3
54.0%
62.4%
OT
57.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |