Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.0%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Benn 52.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 59.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 52.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Matthews
Benn
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
7
Matthews
Benn
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
1
Matthews
Benn
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Matthews
Benn
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.5% (6,450)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.5% (2,054)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
49.3% (515)
+0.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Matthews
Benn
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Matthews
Benn
P1
55.5%
51.9%
P2
53.3%
52.6%
P3
52.8%
54.0%
OT
56.6%
62.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |