Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs McCann 46.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 76.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 72.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 73.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Matthews
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Matthews
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
46.0% (428)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
39.3% (56)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Matthews
McCann
Home
60.7% (572)
45.1% (244)
Away
52.4% (657)
46.0% (248)
By Period
Matthews
McCann
P1
60.3%
42.5%
P2
55.6%
45.9%
P3
53.3%
47.8%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jared McCann |