Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs McCann 42.7% (+19.1%)
Offensive zone
McCann 58.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 69.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Matthews
McCann
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
37.5% (40)
+15.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
29.7% (37)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. McCann is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Matthews
McCann
Home
54.8% (515)
34.0% (47)
Away
50.2% (534)
32.3% (31)
By Period
Matthews
McCann
P1
54.4%
38.1%
P2
50.4%
30.0%
P3
51.8%
30.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
33.3%