Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs McCann 46.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 66.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 83.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Matthews
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
48.4% (188)
+9.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
33.3% (15)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
31.7% (41)
+19.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Matthews
McCann
Home
59.1% (528)
52.8% (125)
Away
55.1% (695)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Matthews
McCann
P1
56.2%
37.7%
P2
58.1%
50.5%
P3
56.4%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |