Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs McCann 48.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 79.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Matthews
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
48.8% (260)
+4.6%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
37.0% (27)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
50.0% (20)
-8.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Matthews
McCann
Home
56.5% (703)
51.0% (143)
Away
50.0% (616)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Matthews
McCann
P1
52.1%
53.6%
P2
54.0%
52.0%
P3
54.0%
37.6%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |