Auston Matthews vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 67.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 66.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
51.8% (637)
+0.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
48.2% (56)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
42.9% (7)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.8% (515)
53.1% (339)
Away
50.2% (534)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.4%
48.3%
P2
50.4%
55.0%
P3
51.8%
50.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |