Auston Matthews vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 85.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
14
(32 meetings)
18
14
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
6
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
6
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
49.0% (3,852)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.3% (351)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
45.7% (35)
+4.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.5%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
50.4%
P3
52.8%
47.2%
OT
56.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |