Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Veleno 43.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 69.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Matthews
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Veleno
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Veleno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Matthews
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
42.9% (617)
+9.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
37.5% (16)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
33.3% (18)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Matthews
Veleno
Home
54.8% (515)
40.7% (327)
Away
50.2% (534)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Matthews
Veleno
P1
54.4%
43.2%
P2
50.4%
42.0%
P3
51.8%
42.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |