Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Veleno 47.4% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 55.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 55.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Matthews
Veleno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
47.1% (420)
+11.2%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
100.0% (1)
-44.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
25.0% (8)
+25.7%
On power play, Veleno has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Matthews
Veleno
Home
59.1% (528)
47.8% (201)
Away
55.1% (695)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Matthews
Veleno
P1
56.2%
48.8%
P2
58.1%
47.9%
P3
56.4%
44.2%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%