Auston Matthews vs Kevin Stenlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.2%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Matthews
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Matthews
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
58.2% (359)
-5.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.1% (17)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
42.0% (150)
+33.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stenlund
Home
54.8% (515)
53.6% (261)
Away
50.2% (534)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Matthews
Stenlund
P1
54.4%
55.4%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
51.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |