Auston Matthews vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 86.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 67.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Matthews
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Matthews
Stenlund
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
6
Matthews
Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Stenlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
55.3% (2,703)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.6% (116)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
50.6% (919)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stenlund
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Matthews
Stenlund
P1
55.5%
56.4%
P2
53.3%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
52.8%
OT
56.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |