Auston Matthews vs Kevin Stenlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 55.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 63.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Matthews
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Matthews
Stenlund
Last 8: Matthews 5-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.4% (592)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
42.9% (14)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
44.1% (229)
-2.2%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stenlund
Home
56.5% (703)
50.7% (402)
Away
50.0% (616)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Matthews
Stenlund
P1
52.1%
56.5%
P2
54.0%
52.4%
P3
54.0%
45.2%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |