Auston Matthews vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Backlund 50.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Matthews
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Matthews
Backlund
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Matthews
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
51.9% (1,083)
+0.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
51.7% (120)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.3% (183)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backlund
Home
54.8% (515)
51.9% (673)
Away
50.2% (534)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Matthews
Backlund
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
50.4%
50.5%
P3
51.8%
51.4%
OT
75.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |