Auston Matthews vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 70.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Matthews
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Matthews
Backlund
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
6
Matthews
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
51.0% (1,205)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
59.3% (108)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
42.3% (234)
-0.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backlund
Home
56.5% (703)
51.2% (782)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Matthews
Backlund
P1
52.1%
51.5%
P2
54.0%
49.8%
P3
54.0%
49.9%
OT
57.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |