Auston Matthews vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 39 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Backlund 49.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 57-39 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 87.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 73.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Matthews
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
39
(96 meetings)
57
39
Matthews
Backlund
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
34
5
Matthews
Backlund
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
20
Matthews
Backlund
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
13
14
Matthews
Backlund
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
49.7% (13,410)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.6% (1,336)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
44.0% (2,446)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backlund
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Matthews
Backlund
P1
55.5%
48.5%
P2
53.3%
50.3%
P3
52.8%
48.4%
OT
56.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |