Auston Matthews vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 78.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 83.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 86.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Matthews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Matthews
MacKinnon
Last 5: Matthews 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Matthews
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Matthews
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
44.4% (743)
+10.7%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
35.7% (70)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
25.9% (27)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Matthews
MacKinnon
Home
57.0% (440)
46.4% (394)
Away
53.1% (480)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Matthews
MacKinnon
P1
54.0%
44.4%
P2
55.1%
38.2%
P3
56.4%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |