Auston Matthews vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 80.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 94.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Matthews
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Matthews
MacKinnon
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
44.7% (1,053)
+8.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
36.8% (95)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
65.0% (20)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Matthews
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (515)
49.4% (553)
Away
50.2% (534)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Matthews
MacKinnon
P1
54.4%
45.3%
P2
50.4%
42.7%
P3
51.8%
45.1%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | OT | 00:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |