Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.6%). Matthews wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Matthews
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Matthews
Bjugstad
Last 5: Matthews 0-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Matthews
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Matthews
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Matthews
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
46.2% (340)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
58.0% (50)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
0.0% (1)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Matthews is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Matthews shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bjugstad
Home
48.4% (562)
49.4% (237)
Away
45.3% (570)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Matthews
Bjugstad
P1
51.3%
46.4%
P2
44.5%
50.4%
P3
44.6%
45.6%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |