Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.3%). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Matthews
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
55.9% (245)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
0.0% (3)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bjugstad
Home
60.7% (572)
53.2% (111)
Away
52.4% (657)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Matthews
Bjugstad
P1
60.3%
44.6%
P2
55.6%
61.4%
P3
53.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |