Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Bonino 52.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Matthews
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Matthews
Bonino
Last 8: Matthews 7-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
52.0% (717)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
62.7% (67)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
50.7% (144)
-0.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bonino
Home
57.0% (440)
54.8% (429)
Away
53.1% (480)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Matthews
Bonino
P1
54.0%
53.5%
P2
55.1%
49.5%
P3
56.4%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |