Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Bonino 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 87.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Matthews
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Bonino
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.1% (324)
+4.6%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
57.9% (38)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.3% (88)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bonino
Home
54.8% (515)
52.0% (244)
Away
50.2% (534)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Matthews
Bonino
P1
54.4%
48.0%
P2
50.4%
42.9%
P3
51.8%
53.9%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |