Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Bonino 50.8% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 69.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Matthews
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
51.8% (305)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
48.5% (101)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bonino
Home
56.5% (703)
53.1% (177)
Away
50.0% (616)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Matthews
Bonino
P1
52.1%
55.9%
P2
54.0%
49.6%
P3
54.0%
47.6%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%