Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+12.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Matthews
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
37.7% (53)
+15.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
40.9% (44)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
66.7% (3)
+8.3%
On even strength, Matthews has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Matthews
Schmaltz
Home
54.8% (515)
34.7% (49)
Away
50.2% (534)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Matthews
Schmaltz
P1
54.4%
25.9%
P2
50.4%
46.2%
P3
51.8%
42.1%
OT
75.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%